A
shocking prediction was made by The Financial Times concerning Greece while
evaluating the sustainability plan of the German government
resulting from the coalition between Angela Merkel with the Social Democrats.
The newspaper
wrote that within the next four years, Greece will either return to the drachma
or declare bankruptcy, or maybe both scenarios will take place.
“Germany’s
coalition will have to break promises” this is the title of the article The
Financial Times published. It naturally talks about that the leaders of the
ruling coalition would not push through with their promises to the German
voters for the reason that there is “a lack of preparation by the political
class for what will hit it in the next four years. The big threat to Germany
over the next four years is not demography but the unfolding eurozone debt
crisis. No matter which crisis resolution scenario prevails, some promises
made to the electorate are going to be broken.”
The
Financial Times article provided a key paradigm of what will happen in the next
four years of the Greek debt crisis and with the emphasis that: The
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development is forecasting that the
Greek sovereign debt ratio will stabilize at 160 per cent of gross domestic
product in 2020. The EU and the International Monetary Fund have been basing
their whole bailout arithmetic on a goal of 124 per cent. Greece will either
default or exit the euro – or both in the next four years. The EU’s
“pretend-and-extend” strategy of revolving loans at longer maturities and lower
interest rates is approaching a natural limit.”
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